High pressure aloft will continue throughout the weekend with high pressure at the surface promoting dry conditions for the area for the majority of today. Water vapor will be on the increase late in the day, making it feel like 100 to 103 degrees. Farther to the east, it will be mostly sunny across the Piedmont to the coast with highs in the middle 90s.
The ridging aloft will expand westward on Sunday and Monday allowing for sunshine, very warm and humid conditions across all of North Carolina from the mountains to the coast. However, as we get into Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, there will be a convergence of both a stalling cold front and the approach of Ida. It will likely remain dry, very warm and humid through the day on Tuesday. However, as the cold front stalls to the north across Virginia Tuesday night it will become infused with tropical moisture from Ida. The heaviest and steadiest rain will pass west and north of the region Tuesday and Wednesday, but some of that moisture may fuel heavy, drenching thunderstorms late in the day Wednesday or Wednesday night. There may be some leftover rain early Thursday, but the weather should be improving throughout the rest of the day with sunshine returning, lowering humidity and cooler air.
The details of timing and how much of the tropical moisture makes it into our area will remain tough to pinpoint until we see the exact track and intensity of the tropical system, so we will continue to fine tune the forecast as we get closer, but concern for potential heavy rain and flooding remain a possibility for the middle of next week.
Have a great weekend and try to stay cool!
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